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08-24-2024, 04:46 PM | #67 | |
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I feel too far late to invest in anything, even if I had the disposable income, and for whom would I be investing? I'm very pragmatic. I really do not plan on living past my 60's. I just see no point in experiencing entropy's best. There is no one to whom I could leave anything, but if I had it, I would leave it to an animal rescue. Edit: Forgot to mention, all of that disposable income I had for years. I blew every bit of it. I have a weakness for greedy women. Last edited by nerdogray; 08-24-2024 at 05:24 PM.. |
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08-24-2024, 05:26 PM | #68 | |
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This was and is standard, conservative, growing-assets-for-retirement-and-your-estate advice focused first and foremost on capital preservation. This wasn't an argument against buying individual stocks, but instead one designed to maximize risk-adjusted returns over a lifetime. Everyone in the room already knew the general concept; it was his estimation of $2 million in 1988 dollars that made his statement interesting. It was quite a bit more than I would have guessed.
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08-26-2024, 10:00 AM | #70 | |
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But I did manage a dream car or two along the way. Just that I had realistic dreams... When I decided I wanted to experience a mid-engine car while of course there were Ferrari cars around I settled on a more affordable (and I believe more practical) mid-engine car a new (2002) Boxster. Not even the S but the base model. The Boxster proved to be a wonderful car that I owned for 16 years and drove for 317K miles. When I decided I wanted to experience a 911 I found a nice 2003 996 Turbo. Used. Six years old but with less than 10K miles. And it came from the (Porsche) dealer with a 2 year/100K mile warranty. My dream car didn't cost me $119K (the sticker price of the 2003 Turbo when new) but $57.7K. (One take away from my 996 Turbo purchase experience is I calculated the original owner paid $6/mile in depreciation for every one of those ~10K miles he drove the car. This is playing a role in my considering buying a (new) 2024 M8 Competition Coupe and that is the huge depreciation hit the car will almost certainly experience.) My current I guess it could be called dream car is my 2023 M2. Might add that while I managed to afford and buy my dream cars over the years -- but as I mentioned above realistic dream cars -- I was frugal in other areas of my life. I was perfectly willing to forgo other expensive life style choices in order to keep my savings/retirement savings contributions max'd out and yet drive my dream car. With I might add no car payments. |
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08-26-2024, 04:49 PM | #71 |
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I bought a new Ferrari 360 in 2001, and sold it in 2007 for the same amount I paid. It was the cheapest car I ever owned, aside from Ferrari holding my money for six years. I don't know if that's common among Ferraris, but I can't imagine a Ferrari not coming out cheaper than a M8 in the same situation.
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08-26-2024, 05:39 PM | #72 |
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I sold my 2006 Z4M last week, bought it for $30,500 in 2012, 12 years later sold it for $35,900. Not one repair, roughly $500 a year for insurance. All sounds great until looking at this online site which shows what $30,500 invested in the S&P 500 in 2012 would be worth today -
https://ofdollarsanddata.com/sp500-calculator/ Nominal Price Return: 312.95% Annualized: 12.36% Investment Grew To: $125,949.25 Nominal Total Return (with dividends reinvested): 415.48% Annualized: 14.43% Investment Grew To: $157,221.81 Inflation Adjusted - Investment Grew To: $115,175.70 I'm glad I did it, at the time could easily afford it, purchased with cash, but shows you what time invested could have done with it. Z4M in 2012 or a used GT3 today?
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08-26-2024, 06:26 PM | #73 |
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This thread prompted me to dig in to a couple accounts my wife and I have with a financial advisor that her parents have used for 15 + years. We decided to give him those accounts to manage (these were old ESOP and 401k's from previous jobs).
The online dashboard I can access goes back to September 2021 and our balance was $187K at that time. Today the balance is $201K. That is a crap return. I honestly have not been paying enough attention but basically we lost our ass in 2022 (balance got down to $140K) and since then it has recovered so our quarterly report-out meetings over the last 1.5 years have been very positive with tons of gains-- but, i didn't go back far enough to see how far it had gone down to get the whole story. Anyone else get their butt kicked in any accounts during that time frame? I didn't want to share this amount of detail with complete strangers but seems like there are some good financial minds on here that can chime in. I'm ready to move my accounts somewhere else.
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08-26-2024, 06:39 PM | #74 |
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I retired at 53 with a 401K and a pension! Have never touched the 401K!
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08-26-2024, 06:46 PM | #75 |
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Well you picked a pretty tough time slice to measure. Sep 2021 was the peak of a long gain, 1/23 was about the bottom of a pretty big drop, and we've been climbing nicely since. So I wouldn't panic too much from that view where you gained about 7.5%.
That said, my money is largely in S&P and NASDAQ index funds, for which I don't pay a financial manager to do anything, plus a chunk essentially in bonds and cash for short term spending. During that same period my gain was about 13.3%, and corresponds with my belief in index funds, not financial advisors. |
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08-26-2024, 07:11 PM | #76 |
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One usually doesn't care much about retirement until it's time to retire, forced or otherwise, and then it's too late.
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08-26-2024, 07:58 PM | #77 |
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08-26-2024, 08:47 PM | #78 | |
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From Sept 2021 to now the S&P has gained almost 25% (7.861 annualized). A 50/50 porfolio with the FI portion in MMF (not necessarily advisable, but safe @ 5% now), would have returned 6.5% a year. Or a total return of appx 19.5%. With dividends reinvested the S&P for that period returned about 30% (9.425% annualized). Your total return is 7.5% after almost three years. That is 2.5% annualized. Unless I misread something. Keep in mind, few are going to be 100% stocks. You may have told him you were very risk averse and did not want to lose any money and he put it all in something like T-bills. But, it is not what I would call a great return. That is just a quick "back of envelope" calculation. 2022 was a bad year for both stocks and bonds. But, this is why I don't use a FA. They are better than nothing, but tend to use a "set and forget" process. And always get their fees. When I see a train coming, I get off the tracks. Several things were telegraphed very clearly. First was CoVid. Then inflation. And next, the clear knowledge that rates were going up. All three had logical responses, to those paying attention. On edit: Right now a 4th event is being telegraphed: rate cuts. That is also useful information that could be acted upon.
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Last edited by DrVenture; 08-26-2024 at 11:06 PM.. |
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floridaorange12148.50 vreihen1620641.50 |
08-26-2024, 10:48 PM | #79 | |
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08-26-2024, 10:57 PM | #80 | |
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08-26-2024, 11:39 PM | #81 | |
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08-27-2024, 08:35 AM | #82 | |
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100% agree you don't need one & probably wouldn't have one if it wasn't for this odd situation. I will say it's like anything else that you debate between DIY/hiring a professional - taxes (i hire), plumbing (I sometimes DIY), to building a new deck (I DIY), always cheaper to DIY you just have to be educated on what you are doing & want to do it. Neither he or I believe in trying to time the market when it comes to drastic moves over short periods of time but for timing we have followed some general trends with balancing things out, small enough to not make a huge difference, large enough to pick up gains. Potential trends like Growth stocks possibly slowing down, interest rates dropping - bond prices go up, Small Caps generally do better when interest rates are lower. As to whether I have come out ahead with him, hard to say.
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08-28-2024, 08:00 AM | #83 | |
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Your post personally made me revisit my finances and run the numbers last night just to make sure I'm on track.
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08-28-2024, 08:29 AM | #84 |
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The saddest thing is realizing that I stupidly passed on 20 years of *crazy* matches that my employer was offering, like I put in 5% and they matched with 9.5 - 12%!!!!!
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08-28-2024, 08:47 AM | #85 |
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If delaying my dream car means I’m more secure in the future, I’d probably do it. But I’d also look for ways to save smartly so I don’t have to put off my dream for too long.
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08-28-2024, 01:25 PM | #86 | |
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A policy that some companies implemented in lieu of pension plans.
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08-28-2024, 01:39 PM | #87 | |
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IRT your colleague example, My wife quit working when our son was born. She left a data entry job of 13 years. It was not a high paying job. She had a 401K that I invested her into (6% w/ 6% match) long before we even got married. And a small pension buyout. I was still in college at the time. She was scraping by, but did it anyhow for the match. When she left the company, I did a proper rollover to avoid taxes. That $20K is now nearly half a million, 30 years later. She doesn't even know that she has it! lol This illustrates the power of time, company match and tax deferment in a real world scenario. The funny thing about people who say they cannot save, is that if they made $20K more, they would say the same thing. And complain about taxes, while ignoring tax advantages available to them.
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Last edited by DrVenture; 08-28-2024 at 05:14 PM.. |
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vreihen1620641.50 floridaorange12148.50 |
08-28-2024, 04:01 PM | #88 | |
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My 79 y/o mother, who still has the same FA I fired, still thinks I'm crazy for moving my money and repeatedly says I don't know what I'm doing or why I would risk such a thing. I don't have the heart to tell her my portfolio went from being 30% less than hers to exceeded hers 4 years ago and is now worth double what hers is. She just assumes I'm losing money and will learn a hard lesson. I can't stress enough that the easy path to being a successful investor with the goal of retiring with $1M-5M is as simple as investing 80-95% in S&P500 index funds and some bond funds and keeping it there long-term; the investment percentages varying with age and risk tolerance. Once you exceed $3M-ish, then it may be wise to look at other investment vehicles and also use the occasional help of fiduciary, a tax person, and attorney to sift through tax stuff, trusts, etc. What I find a bit funny about my wife and I is that, while we've accumulated some pretty dang good wealth for our ages, we often evaluate even $100 purchases and ask ourselves "Do we really need/want this?" It seems to have gotten worse too the larger our portfolio has grown
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Last edited by XutvJet; 08-28-2024 at 04:08 PM.. |
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