[EstorilM240]

Inspired by the "Why is the Manual transmission a dying breed?" thread

Before scrolling down to see the numbers, feel free take a guess first. These numbers are compiled from auto inventory on cars.com a few months ago. Some of these numbers can be corroborated with manufacturer statements and blog posts on autoblog.com. This is for the US market only, for listed new cars.

There are some statistical issues including

(1) automatic transmission cars, especially DSG or with paddles, labeled as manual (not THAT common but definitely an issue - could automatically scrape photos and try to detect gear shifters)

(2) manual transmission vehicles generally take longer to sell, and may be overrepresented on dealer lots especially when the take rate is low

(3) not all vehicles are sold through dealers - some cars the manual is generally special-ordered (see BMW 2 series), others, a flood of automatic transmission rentals doesn't show up (Mustangs)

(4) for previous model years (see below), this is only what is listed on cars.com, and cars.com may skew more toward expensive vehicles or a particular demographic vs. Craigslist. There are a lot of other good data sources.

The list

The manual truists: Majority manual
Subaru WRX - 88%: 1712 / (1712 + 214 + 25 + 3)
Subaru BRZ - 86%: 48 vs. 289

Mazda Miata soft top: 66%: 600 / ( 310 + 600)
Toyota 86 - 66%
VW Golf R: 60.8%: 254 / (254 + 124 + 40)

Mazda Miata RF: 57%: 477 / (363 + 477 + 1)
VW Jetta GLI: 54.3%: 862 / (862 + 481 + 242 + 2)

Enthusiast shifter heavy: 30-50% manual

VW Golf GTI: 47%: 1019 / (1019 + 773 + 369 + 4)

BMW M2: 43%: 39 / ( 39 + 33 + 9 + 10)
Fiat 124 Spider: 33% - 411 / (411 + 672 + 168)
VW Golf non-GTI non-R: 30.9%: 988 / (988 + 1771 + 435 + 3) are the DSGs listed as manual?
Hyundai Veloster: 30.6%: 409 / (409 + 797 + 129 + 1)
BMW M6 Gran Coupe: 30% - 3 vs 7

The loud minority: 20-30% manual
Ford Mustang - 28%: 4312 / (4312 + 9697 + 99 + 1232)
Nissan 370Z: 23.8%: 94 / (94 + 3+ 298)
BMW M4: 23%: 107 / (107 + 48 + 244 + 64)
Chevrolet Camaro: 22% 1559 / (1559 + 5437 + 55)
Porsche Cayman: 21.5%: 121 / (121 + 106 + 220 + 115)
Cadillac ATS V: 21%: 3 / (9 + 3+ 2)

At risk: 10-20% manual
Porsche Boxster: 19.2%: 96 / (96 + 96 + 217 + 89). 96 manual, 96 automanual
Chevrolet Corvette - 17%: 857 / (857 + 4250 + 20)
Porsche 911: 13.6%: 109 / (109 + 341 + 166 + 186)
Nissan Versa sedan only: 12.2%: 552 / (552 + 3903 + 61 + 2) * cheapest new car
VW Jetta non-GLI: 10.6%: 636 / (636 + 5387 + 2)

Still double the average: 5-10% manual
Toyota Yaris all 9.5%: 311 / (311 + 2762 + 185)
Mini cooper all: 7.3%: 454 / (454 + 560 + 5185 + 32)
Ford Fiesta: 7.1% : 681 / (681 + 2 + 934 + 6376 + 1570) excluding ST
Fiat 500 gas: 6.2% 133 / (133 + 1792 + 37 + 188)
Dodge Challenger: 5.3% 474 / (474 + 8283 + 257)
MItsubishi Mirage+G4: 5.0%: 290 / (290 + 1959 + 3260 + 240), 1959 unknown

Still barely above average: 2-5% manual
Chevrolet Spark: 4.6%: 145 / (145 + 2201 + 620)
Subrau Impreza, non WRX trim: 4.6%: 286 / (286 + 79 + 5844 + 8)
Honda Civic ex Si/R: 4.2%: 2096 / (2096 + 47065 + 817 + 2)
Kia Forte/Koupe: 4.2%: 507 / (507 + 102 + 10629 + 808+ 1)
Toyota Corolla + Hatch: 3.8%: 886 / (886 + 21846 + 179 + 335)
BMW 440i Coupe: 3.7%: 16 / (16 + 355 + 64)
Hyundai Accent: 3.4%: 120 / (120 + 3394 + 1)
Genesis G70: 3.1%: 73 / (73 + 2278)

BMW 230i coupe: 2.7%: 2 / (65 + 2 + 8)
Honda Accord - 2.6%: 895 / (26876 + 7242 + 895 + 1)
Mazda3: - 2.55%: 240 / (240 + 1 + 9158)
Hyundai Elantra+GT: 2.0%: 388 / (388 + 173 + 18822 + 9)

Below average: 0-2% manual
Nissan Sentra: 1.8% 359 / (359 + 18586 + 602)
Honda Fit - 1.6%: 101 / (101 + 6105 + 112 + 1)
BMW M240i coupe+conv - 1.6%: 4 / ( 4 + 232 +12)
Chevy Sonic: 1.6%: 36 / ( 2194 + 36)
BMW 430i coupe: 0.806%: 4 / (4 + 446 + 46)
BMW 440i Coupe + Gran Coupe: 0.712%: 16 / (16 + 1084 + 64 + 1084)
Jaguar F Type: 0.641%: 4 / (4 + 620)

Manual only vehicles (I didn't check these, could be good to see misclassification):

Honda Civic Si
Honda Civic Type R
Subaru Impreza WRX STi
Shelby GT350

Ford Fiesta ST (Production ending or ended mid-2019)
Ford Focus RS (Production ending or ended mid-2019)

2019 Manual vehicles that no longer offer manual for 2020:
Chevrolet Corvette
Jaguar F Type